Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 33 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 18 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter