Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +13 (94-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 41 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 40 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 10-13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 27 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter