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2004-04-17

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (98-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Williams * 33 4-11 2-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 10 1 -
Pau Gasol * 30 3-11 0-0 8-8 2 2 1 2 0 14 10 -
James Posey * 27 4-9 1-2 6-6 4 1 3 0 1 15 13 -
Lorenzen Wright * 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
Mike Miller * 22 0-5 0-1 1-2 5 1 2 0 2 1 2 -
Earl Watson * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 2 5 -
Bo Outlaw * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Bonzi Wells 26 6-11 0-1 4-6 5 0 2 0 4 16 8 -
Stromile Swift 22 1-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 3 0 3 8 -
Shane Battier 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
Ryan Humphrey 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jake Tsakalidis 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Duncan * 36 12-18 0-0 2-4 9 3 1 2 1 26 22 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 32 4-10 1-2 3-4 6 3 3 0 5 12 9 -
Bruce Bowen * 32 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 9 5 -
Tony Parker * 31 4-10 2-2 0-0 2 8 0 0 4 10 6 -
Manu Ginobili * 27 5-10 0-3 5-5 3 3 1 1 2 15 11 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 3 0 4 10 -
Jason Hart * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
Malik Rose * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 4 3 -
Robert Horry 16 5-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 10 10 -
Charlie Ward 4 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Kevin Willis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter