Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Wesley * | 39 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 27 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| George Lynch * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| David West * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 41 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 39 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 5-18 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter