Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 43 | 11-18 | 3-8 | 8-10 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 23 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 43 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| David Wesley * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| George Lynch * | 25 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| David West * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Steven Smith | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 9-21 | 3-8 | 4-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 6 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter