Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +30 (93-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 38 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| David Wesley * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 32 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 14 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| David West * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| George Lynch * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maurice Carter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 41 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Malik Allen | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Loren Woods | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter