Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -14 (90-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Daniels * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 17 | - |
| David Robinson * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 23 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 18 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shawnelle Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 41 | 5-21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 28 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 11 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter