Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +16 (94-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 28 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Vernon Maxwell * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 37 | 14-22 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| David Robinson * | 26 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 16 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shawnelle Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter