Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Carter * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Buford | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tim James | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 43 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Coleman * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| David Wesley * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Robinson * | 23 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
* = starter