Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Armstrong * | 30 | 6-17 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| John Amaechi * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 19 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Strong | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 39 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 24 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Harold Jamison | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter