Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (117-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 31 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Lazaro Borrell * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Vernon Maxwell * | 18 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Fred Vinson * | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Greg Foster | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 30 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 24 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sean Rooks * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 16 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Damon Jones | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rodrick Rhodes | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter