Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (101-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Rose * | 42 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 26 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Travis Best * | 21 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Rik Smits * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Carter * | 43 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 31 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 18 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Buford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter