Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +17 (90-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Carter * | 43 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 35 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Rodney Buford * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 38 | 9-23 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 31 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 23 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| John Crotty * | 16 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Eric Montross | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jud Buechler | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter