Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -1 (115-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 51 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 47 | 7-23 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 45 | 11-16 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 29 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 43 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 25 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Sean Rooks | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 47 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| George McCloud * | 43 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 43 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| James Posey * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Chris Herren * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Popeye Jones * | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter