Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (111-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Person * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Cedric Henderson * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Mark Bryant * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Lari Ketner * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 24 | 5-15 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Harold Jamison | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rodney Buford | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter