Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 43 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 17 | - |
| David Robinson * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 21 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Terry Porter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter