Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.3% | 94.7% | +15.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +25 (105-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton Brand * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Randy Brown * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 11-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Dickey Simpkins * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Corey Benjamin * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Will Perdue | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Rodney Buford * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 18 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Harold Jamison | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter