Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 44 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 6-10 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 41 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Rodney Rogers * | 33 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Randy Livingston * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Don MacLean * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Todd Day * | 15 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Luc Longley * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Oliver Miller * | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Corie Blount | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Toby Bailey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 40 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 14 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rodney Buford * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
* = starter