Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (97-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| David Robinson * | 37 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 31 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 45 | 11-17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 41 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 39 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 9 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Greg Buckner | 20 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Sean Rooks | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter