Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | -2.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -11 (89-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 43 | 11-25 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| Glen Rice * | 42 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 11-12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 39 | 12-22 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 30 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Ron Harper * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| John Salley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devean George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Knight | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 12-25 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Rodney Buford * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter