Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +3 (110-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 41 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 19 | - |
| George McCloud * | 35 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Chris Herren * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| James Posey * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Popeye Jones * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Gatling | 13 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Cory Alexander | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Amaechi * | 34 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 34 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Derek Strong * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
* = starter