Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (96-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Clark * | 41 | 12-17 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| James Posey * | 40 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 37 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 35 | 8-22 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Chris Gatling * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chris Herren * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| George McCloud * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Popeye Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 43 | 9-22 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 31 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Otis Thorpe | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Harold Jamison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter