Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +15 (101-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 13-26 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 8-22 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 36 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Dennis Rodman * | 35 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Barry * | 42 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 40 | 12-20 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 34 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 29 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Greg Foster * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter