Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (100-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 44 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 23 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 40 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 37 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 34 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 43 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 28 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 43 | 13-19 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Rodney Rogers * | 31 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Randy Livingston * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Luc Longley * | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark West | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Toby Bailey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter