Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 44 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 32 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 29 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Harold Jamison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Glen Rice * | 35 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Ron Harper * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| John Salley * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Travis Knight * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Devean George | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter