Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +18 (101-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 47 | 8-23 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 45 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 42 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 29 | 10-17 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Person * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Foster * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 38 | 13-20 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter