Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (93-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 27 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 23 | 3-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Harold Jamison | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samaki Walker * | 36 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| David Robinson * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 22 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Felton Spencer * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter