Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (95-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 39 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 6-23 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Otis Thorpe | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Hunter * | 42 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 40 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 40 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 35 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| John Crotty * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter