Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (106-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 40 | 11-23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 39 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 38 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 33 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ruben Patterson * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 48 | 12-24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 37 | 11-26 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Rodman * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 28 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Damon Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter