Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (99-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Richmond * | 44 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 43 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Tracy Murray * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzo Williams * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jahidi White * | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 40 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 14-14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 30 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter