Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | +0.7 | ✗ (12.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +13 (101-88). Ratings: 1999-00 season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 32 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 29 | 7-17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Carter | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Otis Thorpe | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rex Walters | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandon Anderson * | 41 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Walt Williams * | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 23 | 9-16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Anthony Miller * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Kenny Thomas | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley | 25 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Bryce Drew | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bill Curley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Devin Gray | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter