Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.3% | 24.7% | -3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (87-92). Ratings: 1999-00 season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 12-25 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 34 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Otis Thorpe | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rex Walters | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Mercer * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 37 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chris Herren * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| James Posey * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| George McCloud | 33 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Keon Clark | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Cory Alexander | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bryant Stith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Popeye Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter