Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +10 (110-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 12-22 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 29 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 42 | 7-19 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 40 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Stepania * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 30 | 10-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Don MacLean * | 24 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Drew Barry * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Detlef Schrempf * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| John Crotty * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter