Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (93-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 42 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Grant Long * | 40 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Mookie Blaylock * | 40 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 36 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 3 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Roshown McLeod * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Mark West * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ed Gray | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Sheppard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 48 | 7-19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rex Walters | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter