Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.8% | 1.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.2% | 7.8% | -13.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -27 (72-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Elie * | 34 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| David Robinson * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 24 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Will Perdue | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gerard King | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Lopez * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Cherokee Parks * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Michael Smith * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Wheat * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J.R. Henderson * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Pete Chilcutt * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rodrick Rhodes * | 14 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Makhtar N'diaye | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Terry Dehere | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter