Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -11 (96-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Mercer * | 45 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 12-19 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Dana Barros * | 31 | 9-10 | 4-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 30 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Marlon Garnett * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Riley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Greg Minor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter