Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -25 (65-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 31 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Voshon Lenard | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Marty Conlon | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Person * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Cedric Henderson * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Stack * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mitchell Butler * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Derek Anderson | 14 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
* = starter