Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +27 (103-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 36 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 32 | 3-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bruno Sundov | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A.C. Green | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| David Robinson * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gerard King | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter