Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Davis * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 37 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 30 | 6-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Travis Best * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Al Harrington | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 43 | 9-24 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 5-17 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 26 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter