Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| David Robinson * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 12-15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 22 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -6 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 21 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 19 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 41 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 41 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter