Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 46 | 12-23 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 45 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 42 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 39 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A.C. Green | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 42 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Keith Askins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter