Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | -1.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -22 (70-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 39 | 5-17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 27 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Rex Walters | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Blue Edwards | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Brown * | 29 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 22 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Charles Oakley * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Wallace * | 18 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| John Thomas * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Stewart * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Slater | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sean Marks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter