Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +8 (95-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 43 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Detlef Schrempf * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| John Crotty * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Drew Barry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rashard Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 41 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter