Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (101-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Detlef Schrempf * | 32 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 22 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| John Crotty * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rashard Lewis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Drew Barry | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 23 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Anstey | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter