Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +22 (99-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hot Rod Williams * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Malik Rose | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andrew Gaze | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter