Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -21 (65-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| David Robinson * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Malik Rose | 14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Gaze | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio McDyess * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 32 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Johnny Taylor * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Eric Washington | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Loren Meyer | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter