Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (89-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Travis Best * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Rik Smits * | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 10-24 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 40 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 37 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Blue Edwards | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter