Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -1 (85-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 41 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 9-19 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blue Edwards | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rex Walters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 38 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Mookie Blaylock * | 38 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 38 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Grant Long * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ed Gray * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Roshown McLeod * | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Tyrone Corbin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark West | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter