Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Smith * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Grant Long * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mookie Blaylock * | 23 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Chris Crawford * | 21 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Mark West * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Tyrone Corbin | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 37 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 35 | 7-18 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 20 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Rex Walters | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Blue Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter