Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -10 (96-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 46 | 14-27 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 33 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| David Robinson * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 27 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Malik Rose | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Gaze | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Van Exel * | 42 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 34 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Carl Herrera * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Johnny Taylor * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter